Washington – Climate Reality Check: Global Carbon Pollution Up In 2018


    FILE - In this Wednesday, Nov. 28, 2018 file photo, plumes of smoke rise from Europe's largest lignite power plant in Belchatow, central Poland. After several years of little growth, global emissions of heat-trapping carbon dioxide surged in 2018 with the largest jump in seven years, discouraged scientists announced Wednesday, Dec. 5, 2018. (AP Photo/Czarek Sokolowski)Washington – After several years of little growth, global emissions of heat-trapping carbon dioxide experienced their largest jump in seven years, discouraging scientists.

    World carbon dioxide emissions are estimated to have risen 2.7 percent from 2017 to 2018, according to three studies released Wednesday from the Global Carbon Project , an international scientific collaboration of academics, governments and industry that tracks greenhouse gas emissions. The calculations, announced during negotiations to put the 2015 Paris climate accord into effect, puts some of the landmark agreement’s goals nearly out of reach, scientists said.

    “This is terrible news,” said Andrew Jones, co-director of Climate Interactive, which models greenhouse gas emissions and temperatures but was not part of the research. “Every year that we delay serious climate action, the Paris goals become more difficult to meet.”

    The studies concluded that this year the world would spew 40.9 billion tons (37.1 billion metric tons) of carbon dioxide, up from 39.8 billion tons (36.2 billion metric tons) last year. The margin of error is about one percentage point on either side.

    The Global Carbon Project uses government and industry reports to come up with final emission figures for 2017 and projections for 2018 based on the four biggest polluters: China, the United States, India and the European Union.

    The U.S., which had been steadily decreasing its carbon pollution, showed a significant rise in emissions — up 2.5 percent — for the first time since 2013. China, the globe’s biggest carbon emitter, saw its largest increase since 2011: 4.6 percent.

    Study lead author Corinne Le Quere, a climate change researcher at the University of East Anglia in England, said the increase is a surprising “reality check” after a few years of smaller emission increases. But she also doesn’t think the world will return to the even larger increases seen from 2003 to 2008. She believes unusual factors are at play this year.

    For the U.S., it was a combination of a hot summer and cold winter that required more electricity use for heating and cooling. For China, it was an economic stimulus that pushed coal-powered manufacturing, Le Quere said.

    John Reilly, co-director of MIT’s Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, said the results aren’t too surprising because fossil fuels still account for 81 percent of the world’s energy use. The burning of coal, oil and gas release carbon dioxide, which warms the Earth . Reilly, who wasn’t part of the study, praised it as impressive.

    Global Carbon Project chairman Rob Jackson, a Stanford University climate scientist, said he was discouraged.

    The Paris accord set two goals. The long-held goal would limit global warming to no more than 1.8 degrees (1 degree Celsius) from now, with a more ambitious goal of limiting warming to 0.9 degrees (0.5 degrees Celsius) from now.

    The trend is such that the world would have to be lucky to keep warming to 1.8 degrees, let alone the lower goal, Le Quere said.

    China increased its emissions to 11.4 billion tons (10.3 billion metric tons), while the U.S. jumped to a shade under 6 billion tons (5.4 metric tons). The European Union spewed 3.9 billion tons (3.5 billion metric tons) and India soared to 2.9 billion tons (2.6 billion metric tons). Overall, the world is spewing about 1,300 tons (1,175 metric tons) of carbon dioxide into the air every second.

    Use of coal — the biggest carbon emitter — is rising. And while countries are using more renewable fuels and trying to reduce carbon from electricity production, emissions from cars and planes are steadily increasing, Le Quere said.

    Global carbon dioxide emissions have increased 55 percent in the last 20 years, the calculations show. At the same time, Earth has warmed on average about two-thirds of a degree (0.38 degrees Celsius), according to the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

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    1. It’s all from climate change alarmists, flying around in their private jets, their multiple mansions, and all their climate change conferences the last one in Poland spewed carbon the equivalent of 8200 americans in a year and that is not counting the amount of carbon spewed by participants in getting there so if they would all give up their private jets and the multiple mansions that would save the planet right there

      • No, it’s not “all” from those flying in jets. It’s also from thousands of working scientists, scholars, and researchers.
        A few celebrities flying around or living in mansions aren’t the issue but do provide a convenient distraction.

        • And all of them are saying what it takes to get paid, because the governments have granted billions over this topic. The money is not going to nay-sayers. As one small example, then-Prime Minister Thatcher wanted to promote atomic energy because she did not trust the oil supply from the middle-east (that could be cut-off or prices raised arbitrarily) and certainly she could not stand unions (who strike at will to deny the country coal). So how to convince the masses to turn to atomic power? Find some excuse. The global warming possibility had already been published but had no followers to speak of. So she offered government money.

          The very person that Al Gore himself credits with opening his eyes on the matter wrote an article shortly before his own death clearly stating that what is happening now is not what he meant and the things that are going on has made him regret authoring the original paper decades ago that is “credited” (or blamed) depending on one’s view point. Al Gore came with an excuse that his original “mentor” had gone senile. But the open facts are that the latter article and even interviews with media show him really in full control of his faculties.

        • Wrong yamsar they are the issue and are not just a distraction. Its true their overall contribution according to this fake theory is minimal. But they are the point. they are the founders. They pay for this nonsense study. yet they don’t take their theories to heart. Its a symbol of how scary they really think it is. They claim is a hazzard for right now and the world will end in ten years. yet they don’t live that life. And Its the scientists themselves too. not just the celebrities although they celebrities are more noticeable. if it were really so dangerous they’d all live different too. it shows their hypcracy. Kind of like in France the rich elitists preach about cutting. But who should cut? the poor rural farmers..

          Climate change is a scam just like evolution. Fake science.

    2. While climate change might be real, it is not influenced by man. Earth’s climate is driven by the energy it absorbs from the sun, which is about 400 times more that the total energy man generates (based on 2030 projections).

      And, by the way, the ice caps on Mars are also shrinking.

      רבות מחשבות בלב איש ועצת ה’ היא תקום (משלי י”ט, כ”א)

    3. I don’t know for sure if it’s real or not but all of you undermine your own credibilities by unthinkingly dismissing scientific consensus that you know nothing about and which does not contradict the Torah.


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