Washington – 2018 Was 4th Warmest, But Next 5 Years Could Break Records


    This color-coded map shows global surface temperature anomalies. Higher than normal temperatures are shown in red and lower than normal temperatures are shown in blue. (NASA's Scientific Visualization Studio/Kathryn Mersmann)Washington – While 2018 was the fourth-warmest year on record, British meteorologists are predicting the next five years will be much hotter, maybe even record-breaking.

    Two U.S. agencies, the United Kingdom Met Office and the World Meteorological Organization analyzed global temperatures in slightly different ways, but each came to the same conclusion Wednesday: 2018 was the fourth-warmest year on record behind 2016, 2015 and 2017.

    The U.S. government’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said 2018’s average temperature was 58.42 degrees (14.69 Celsius), which is 1.42 degrees (0.79 Celsius) warmer than the 20th century average. Much of Europe had its warmest years on record. Records go back to 1880.

    NASA and NOAA climate scientists said even though 2018 was a tad cooler than the three previous years that’s mostly due to random weather variations.

    “Never mind the little wiggles from year to year. The trend is going relentlessly up, and it will continue to do so,” Potsdam Institute climate scientist Stefan Rahmstorf said in an email. “Those who live in denial of this fact are in denial of physics.”

    Using computer simulations, the British weather office forecast s that the next five years will average somewhere between 58.51 and 59.49 degrees (14.73 to 15.27 Celsius). That would be warmer than the last four years.

    Outside scientists, such as Natalie Mahowald of Cornell University, said the forecast is consistent with what researchers know about warming and natural variability.

    The obvious long-term trend of steady warming makes it easier to more accurately predict near future warming, said NASA chief climate scientist Gavin Schmidt.

    The U.S. temperature in 2018 was the 14th warmest on average, said NOAA climate monitoring chief Deke Arndt.

    Last year was also the third wettest on record in the U.S. Nine eastern states had their wettest years on record, “an exclamation point on a trend of big rain” in the age of climate change, Arndt said.

    There were 14 weather and climate disasters that cost more than $1 billion, for a total of $91 billion, Arndt said. At least 247 people died in those disasters. That’s the fourth-highest number of billion-dollar disasters and the fourth-highest dollar amount, taking inflation into account. The damage included Hurricane Michael’s $25 billion tally and $24 billion each from Hurricane Florence and the western wildfires.

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    1. The chachomim can’t even get the next days snow prediction right yet they know what the next 5 years will look like?

      But let’s look at history. The world is 5779 years old and according to the same so called scientists ( fake ) tne world is millions of years old. We only know what weather was like for the past 139 years. And it’s the 4th warmest. So what

      Furthermore who says warm weather is bad? So there were a few more hurricanes who says tnat has to
      Do with warm weather?

      Who says it’s man made? What can we do about it ?

      • Read up and learn what the scientists are saying before spewing. You wouldn’t learn a rashi & tosfos and expect to understand it before learning the gemorah, so go and read what hey are saying before trying to draw conclusions. Other than the first sentence here, all the rest is just plain observations.

        • Yamsar,

          Your words are the false a not the truth.

          I read up and its all correlations but nothing proven. Same garabge as the fact that the world is 10 million years old.

          The only fcat is the existing data that its the 4th warmest in 140 yrs. but so what


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