Can Trump’s Anti-mail-voting Crusade Hurt Him In Key States?

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FILE - In this May 28, 2020 file photo, Dave Turnier processes mail-in ballots at at the Chester County Voter Services office in West Chester, Pa., prior to the primary election. President Donald Trump’s campaign and allies have blocked efforts to expand mail-in voting, forcing an awkward confrontation with top GOP election officials promoting the opposite in their states. The rare dissonance between Trump and other Republican elected officials also reflects another reality that the president will not concede: Many in his party believe expanding mail-in voting could ultimately help him. (AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

DES MOINES, Iowa (AP) — President Donald Trump’s campaign and allies have blocked efforts to expand mail-in voting, forcing an awkward confrontation with top GOP election officials who are promoting the opposite in their states.

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The rare dissonance between Trump and other Republican elected officials also reflects another reality the president will not concede: Many in his party believe expanding mail-in voting could ultimately help him.

Trump’s campaign has intervened directly in Ohio, while allies have fired warning shots in Iowa and Georgia, aimed at blunting Republican secretaries of state in places that could be competitive in November.

“There is a dimension to legislatures underfunding or undercutting election officials that could ironically backfire and hurt Republicans,” said Michael McDonald, a University of Florida professor and director of the nonpartisan United States Election Project.

Action by these three secretaries of state, who are the top election officials in their states, was designed to make ballot access easier during the coronavirus pandemic. Trump has repeatedly made the unfounded claim that voting by mail could lead to fraud so extensive it could undermine the integrity of the presidential election.

In Ohio last month, senior Trump campaign adviser Bob Paduchik weighed in on Secretary of State Frank LaRose’s proposal, insisting to GOP legislative leaders that they drop a provision to allow voters to file absentee ballot applications online, according to Republican officials involved in the discussions. The GOP officials spoke on the condition of anonymity to discuss internal communications regarding the legislation.

Ohio already allows the secretary of state to send absentee ballot requests to every registered voter. The provision was aimed at allowing a faster processing option, while making mail-in application processing available.

Paduchik, Trump’s 2016 Iowa campaign director, insisted there be no substantive changes ahead of the November election in Ohio, which Trump won in 2016 by 8 percentage points under the existing rules, according to the GOP officials.

Trump campaign aides did not respond to requests for comment.

“This bill didn’t do everything I wanted it to do. In fact, there’s several things I wanted to get done that are not included in this bill,” LaRose said in a video statement this month, promising to try ”to get some of those other changes made in the future.”

Trump has railed against expanding vote by mail, arguing without evidence that the practice, despite being the primary voting method in Colorado, Hawaii, Oregon, Washington and Utah, is ripe for widespread fraud.

On Sunday, he renewed the criticism, tweeting “Mail-In Voting, on the other hand, will lead to the most corrupt Election is USA history. Bad things happen with Mail-Ins.”

That claim is part of a pattern. He also has incorrectly equated a secretary of state widely distributing absentee ballot requests with the ballots themselves in Michigan.

Last week, after Iowa voters broke a 26-year-old statewide primary election turnout record, the Iowa Senate’s GOP majority pressed to bar Secretary of State Paul Pate from sending absentee ballots to all 2 million registered voters this fall, as he did before the June 3 primary.

Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds, a Trump ally, last week signed compromise legislation requiring Pate and his successors to seek approval from a partisan legislative council for similar future actions. The GOP-controlled council unanimously rejected Pate’s request to widely send absentee ballot applications this fall.

“My goal was to protect Iowa voters and poll workers while finding ways to conduct a clean and fair election,” Pate said last month. “I stand by my decisions.”

His Georgia counterpart, Brad Raffensperger, faced a similar fate after he, too, sent absentee ballot applications to nearly 7 million registered voters ahead of the state’s June primary. Although Raffensperger objected to proposed limits being put on his authority, legislation to do that died when the legislature adjourned and after he said he would not repeat the move this fall.

Trump carried Georgia, Iowa and Ohio comfortably in 2016. To win again, he would likely need to match his sizable winning margins in their rural counties, home to many in his older, white base.

Presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden has backed mail-in voting, saying it would make it easier for people to vote this November amid the coronavirus pandemic.

Some longtime GOP activists say expanded vote by mail is essential for older voters who are accustomed to voting in person but hesitant to during the pandemic and who are unfamiliar with the process.

Ann Trimble Ray, a veteran Iowa GOP activist, voted in June by mail and says Pate made the right call, especially for the many older voters in her rural home in Sac County, which Trump carried with 72% of the 2016 vote.

“Reducing their exposure by voting absentee, we think, was a considerate thing to do,” she said. “I was grateful for Secretary of State Pate’s mailing and encouragement for absentee voting.”

Consolidation of rural polling places, shrunken election staff and long lines may deter rural voters vital to Trump, said University of California Irvine professor Richard Hasen, chair of a committee of U.S. scholars that has recommended changes ahead of the 2020 elections.

“The voters Trump is hurting are likely his own when he’s making these comments against mail-in balloting,” said Hasen, “because it’s a safe and generally effective way to cast a ballot, especially in the midst of a pandemic.”

The check on ballot request steps in Iowa and Georgia also could threaten rural votes from being counted, based on McDonald’s study.

Though Ohio counts all mail-in ballots postmarked by Election Day, a number of absentee ballots came in late for the March 17 primary, including 4,000 in Greene County in southeast Ohio, a county where Trump won 60% of the vote.

Understaffed election offices and longer processing time between rural areas and metro postal centers could leave some rural voters unable to mail their ballots on time, McDonald said.

“I’m pretty convinced that ballot request step is hurting rural voters,” McDonald said.


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ChayimYitzchok
ChayimYitzchok
3 years ago

GOP and trump voter surpression and anti-democracy efforts are another reason he will lose in NOV. The Courts knock down those efforts every time. If you hate democracy and love oppression, vote GOP.

JEWS FOR TRUMP 2020
JEWS FOR TRUMP 2020
3 years ago

Fact : in 2 states these ballots were delivered to people in batches , many containig dead voters.
The evil DemonRats even disturb the sanc tity of graves to drag the dead to vote.
Of course, they can’t win unless they cheat , including counting people without ID who may not even be humans.
The fraud to steal an election is obvious.
MAGA

SIREN..SIREN..!!!
SIREN..SIREN..!!!
3 years ago

Under a Demonrat regime , we will get arrested if we look say ” hello ” to a BLM or one using them as cover to howl RA ISM and drag us to court or force us out of our jobs and businesses. People in upper positions in all fields are being made to resign every day by the barbaric mob..
These psychotic episodes will envelop America, a new Dark Age.
It’s getting crazier and scarier.
You must NOT sit out this emergency election.
Our country is on the brink.

anonymous
anonymous
3 years ago

The game plan of democrats is have us hate each other, pitting race against race, and class against class.
It was Obama who started this all, along with his AG Holder who called for violence. So did Schumer and MAXman , that old Rep. racist.
They’re now gunning for the suburbs and wish to dismantle zoning laws to in effect build ghettos.
Wake up .!! It’s a war.

Just calling it as I see it
Just calling it as I see it
3 years ago

Anyone who claims voting by mail will help the president, or any Republican, is out of their minds. why don’t you just stop elections and hand it to the Democrats. This is perfect for them. They could be so much fraud with mail in ballots. Why doesn’t anyone would even have a brain see it?

georgeg
georgeg
3 years ago

The recent news about the egregious fraud in mail-in voting in a local New Jersey election seems to be ignored. The only reason it was even uncovered is because they are all Democrats running against each other who snitched on each other. In one case:

> The board of elections disqualified another 2,300 ballots after concluding that the signatures on them did not match the signatures on voter records.

Educated Archy
Educated Archy
3 years ago

Why can’t w sophisticated country like us figure out how to do this online ? Our nukes and everything under the sun is online